QQQ vs VGT: Remarkable 10-Year Test — $17K Real Gap (2026)

$10,000 in QQQ a decade ago turned into $59,128. The same $10,000 in VGT? $76,417.

That’s a $17,289 gap — and it came from two funds that share four of their top five holdings.

Both are branded as tech ETFs. Both hold Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and Broadcom at the top. But the QQQ vs VGT debate isn’t about tech stocks — it’s about what counts as “tech” in the first place.

The index rules that define each fund create two completely different portfolios. The 10-year returns reflect that split — and the data should make you pause.


$10,000 Growth Comparison: QQQ vs VGT (2016–2025)

VGT didn’t just edge out QQQ over the last decade. It pulled ahead by more than $17,000 on a $10,000 investment — a gap that widened every single year from 2021 onward.

Period QQQ VGT VTI (Benchmark) Gap (VGT − QQQ)
5-Year (2021–2025) $20,175 $22,045 $18,485 +$1,870
10-Year (2016–2025) $59,128 $76,417 $37,899 +$17,289
CAGR 19.45% 22.55% 14.25% +3.10%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual total returns (dividends reinvested). VTI included as broad market benchmark.

$10,000 → 10 Years Later

VGT$76,417
QQQ$59,128
VTI (benchmark)$37,899

Gap: $17,289 · VGT delivered 29% more than QQQ on the same $10K

Both funds crushed the total U.S. stock market. VTI’s $37,899 looks modest next to QQQ’s $59,128 — and small next to VGT’s $76,417. But the QQQ vs VGT gap came from a specific structural reason. Not better stock picking. Not lower fees. A classification system.


Risk Profile: The Price VGT Pays for That $17K

VGT won 8 out of 10 years against QQQ. That sounds like a clear win — until you look at what the QQQ vs VGT risk numbers actually say.

Metric QQQ VGT Interpretation
Top 3 Holdings Weight 25.5% 45.4% VGT is 1.8× more concentrated
Beta (5Y) 1.20 1.33 VGT swings harder in both directions
Volatility (Recent) 4.9% 7.3% VGT ~50% more volatile
Max Drawdown (Since Inception) -82.97%* -54.63% *QQQ includes dot-com crash (2000)
Worst Calendar Year (10Y) -32.58% -29.70% QQQ dropped harder in 2022
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) 0.60 0.56 Similar risk-adjusted returns
Correlation (QQQ ↔ VGT) 0.95 Holding both adds near-zero diversification

Sources: PortfoliosLab (Sharpe, volatility, correlation), Yahoo Finance (beta), StockAnalysis (holdings weight). As of Feb 2026.

Nearly half of VGT rides on three stocks — Nvidia (18.2%), Apple (14.3%), and Microsoft (12.9%). In QQQ, those same three companies take up 25.5%. That 20-point concentration difference is the entire story of QQQ vs VGT’s risk profile.

Top 3 Holdings Weight: Same Stocks, Different Bets

VGT45.4%
NVDA 18.2% AAPL 14.3% MSFT 12.9%
QQQ25.5%
NVDA · AAPL · MSFT

Same three companies. 20-point concentration gap.

When those three names surge — like Nvidia’s 987% run from 2023 to 2025 — VGT looks like a genius allocation. When they stumble, VGT falls faster and harder. That’s not a design flaw. It’s the architecture of a single-sector fund.


Year-by-Year Total Returns: QQQ vs VGT (2016–2025)

The annual scoreboard tells a story QQQ holders probably haven’t seen: VGT won eight out of ten years.

Year QQQ VGT VTI Winner
2016 +7.10% +13.77% +12.83% VGT
2017 +32.66% +37.07% +21.21% VGT
2018 -0.12% +2.45% -5.21% VGT
2019 +38.96% +48.61% +30.67% VGT
2020 +48.62% +46.00% +21.03% QQQ
2021 +27.42% +30.45% +25.67% VGT
2022 -32.58% -29.70% -19.51% VGT
2023 +54.85% +52.65% +26.05% QQQ
2024 +25.58% +29.31% +23.81% VGT
2025 +20.77% +21.78% +17.10% VGT

Source: Yahoo Finance annual total returns (dividends reinvested).

Annual Return Gap: VGT minus QQQ

← QQQ won · center line · VGT won →

2016
+6.67
2017
+4.41
2018
+2.57
2019
+9.65 ★
2020
-2.62
2021
+3.03
2022
+2.88
2023
-2.20
2024
+3.73
2025
+1.01
VGT won (8 years) QQQ won (2 years) ★ Largest gap

QQQ’s two wins — 2020 and 2023 — came when non-tech names inside the Nasdaq-100 surged alongside tech. Amazon jumped 76% in 2020. Meta doubled in 2023. VGT doesn’t hold either of those stocks.

VGT’s biggest single-year advantage was 2019: +48.61% vs +38.96%. That 9.65-point gap alone accounts for a meaningful chunk of the decade-long difference. Semiconductor stocks — which carry heavier weight in VGT — drove that year.


Holdings: The Classification Gap That Explains Everything

This is where QQQ vs VGT stops being a performance debate and starts being a classification debate.

QQQ tracks the Nasdaq-100 — the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange. It doesn’t filter by sector. If a company is big and trades on Nasdaq, it’s in.

VGT tracks the MSCI US IMI Information Technology 25/50 Index — a pure sector fund. Only companies classified as “information technology” under the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) qualify.

The problem: GICS doesn’t classify some of the world’s biggest tech-driven companies as “information technology.”

⚠️
Companies in QQQ that VGT can’t hold
Company QQQ Weight GICS Sector
Amazon 5.20% Consumer Discretionary
Alphabet (GOOGL + GOOG) 7.56% Communication Services
Tesla 3.42% Consumer Discretionary
Meta 2.91% Communication Services
Netflix 2.28% Communication Services
Costco 2.11% Consumer Staples
T-Mobile 1.21% Communication Services
PepsiCo 1.05% Consumer Staples
Total Missing from VGT ~25.7%

Roughly a quarter of QQQ consists of companies that VGT structurally cannot own. Amazon runs one of the world’s largest cloud computing platforms. Alphabet builds AI infrastructure. Meta operates the largest social network. Most investors would call them tech companies. GICS disagrees.

VGT compensates by going deeper into pure IT — semiconductors, enterprise software, IT services. Where QQQ spreads 9.16% across Nvidia, VGT concentrates 18.19% in the same stock. You lose Amazon and Alphabet, but you double down on chipmakers and software firms.

Top 10 Holdings Side by Side

# QQQ Weight VGT Weight
1 Nvidia 9.16% Nvidia 18.19%
2 Apple 8.86% Apple 14.29%
3 Microsoft 7.46% Microsoft 12.93%
4 Broadcom 6.22% Broadcom 4.48%
5 Amazon 5.20% Palantir 2.09%
6 Alphabet (GOOGL) 3.90% Oracle 2.05%
7 Alphabet (GOOG) 3.66% AMD 1.97%
8 Tesla 3.42% Cisco 1.38%
9 Meta 2.91% IBM 1.36%
10 Netflix 2.28% Micron 1.21%
Top 10 Total 53.07% 59.95%

Italic names = held in QQQ but excluded from VGT due to GICS classification. Source: StockAnalysis.com, as of Feb 2026.

Six of QQQ’s top 10 — Amazon, Alphabet, Tesla, Meta, Netflix — don’t appear in VGT at all. VGT replaces them with deeper IT-sector holdings: Oracle, IBM, Cisco, AMD. More tech, but a narrower slice of it.


Dividend Yield and Cost Comparison

Neither fund exists for income. But the QQQ vs VGT cost difference is worth a look.

Metric QQQ VGT
Expense Ratio 0.18% 0.09%
Dividend Yield (TTM) 0.46% 0.41%
Distribution Frequency Quarterly Quarterly
20-Year Fee Drag ($500/mo, 10% return) $353,676 $357,806
Fee Difference (20Y) ~$4,100 advantage to VGT

QQQ’s expense ratio dropped from 0.20% to 0.18% in December 2025, when Invesco converted it from a unit investment trust to an open-ended ETF. That’s a step in the right direction — but VGT‘s 0.09% is exactly half.

Over 20 years with $500 monthly contributions, the 0.09% QQQ vs VGT expense gap compounds to roughly $4,100. Not a life-changing number on its own — but not nothing either, especially combined with VGT’s historically higher returns.

For investors specifically concerned about QQQ’s fee, QQQM offers the same Nasdaq-100 exposure at 0.15% — splitting the cost difference without changing the portfolio.


QQQ vs VGT: Which Tech ETF Fits Your Portfolio?

📈 VGT Has the Edge If…
  • You want maximum IT-sector concentration
  • You’re comfortable with 45% in three stocks
  • Lower fees matter (0.09% vs 0.18%)
  • You believe semiconductors will continue leading
🛡️ QQQ Has the Edge If…
  • You want Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla
  • You prefer multi-sector exposure (36% non-tech)
  • Lower volatility matters (beta 1.20 vs 1.33)
  • You want a cushion if the IT sector stumbles
⚖️ Consider Both If…
  • Don’t hold both — 0.95 correlation means near-zero diversification benefit
  • If you want tech plus broad market, pairing either with VTI or VOO adds more value

VGT’s 10-year data is hard to argue with — $76,417 vs $59,128. But a significant portion of that outperformance traces back to Nvidia’s weight in the fund. If you’re making a 10+ year bet and believe semiconductor dominance continues, VGT’s concentration works in your favor.

If you’d rather have exposure to the broader definition of “tech” — cloud, social, e-commerce, autonomous vehicles — QQQ covers territory VGT structurally cannot enter. That’s the core QQQ vs VGT distinction.

Past returns aren’t a guarantee that VGT will continue leading. But 8-out-of-10 years is a pattern — not a fluke. The QQQ vs VGT decision comes down to which version of “tech” you actually want to own.


QQQ vs VGT: Fund Overview at a Glance

Spec QQQ VGT
Full Name Invesco QQQ Trust Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Index Nasdaq-100 MSCI US IMI/IT 25/50
Issuer Invesco Vanguard
Inception March 1999 January 2004
Expense Ratio 0.18% 0.09%
AUM ~$412B ~$130B
Holdings ~104 ~325
Dividend Yield 0.46% 0.41%
P/E Ratio 32.09 42.40
Sector Focus ~64% Tech, ~36% Other 100% Information Technology

Sources: Invesco, Vanguard, StockAnalysis.com, Yahoo Finance. AUM and holdings as of Feb 2026.


QQQ vs VGT: Frequently Asked Questions

Is VGT better than QQQ for long-term investing?

Over the past 10 years, VGT has delivered higher total returns than QQQ — $76,417 vs $59,128 on a $10,000 investment. However, VGT achieves those returns with significantly higher concentration risk (45% in three stocks vs QQQ’s 25%). Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, and which fund is more suitable depends on an individual investor’s risk tolerance and sector outlook.

Why doesn’t VGT hold Amazon, Google, or Meta?

VGT tracks the MSCI US IMI Information Technology 25/50 Index, which only includes companies classified as “Information Technology” under the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS). Amazon is classified as Consumer Discretionary, while Alphabet and Meta fall under Communication Services. These classifications determine what VGT can and cannot hold — regardless of whether the market considers these companies “tech.”

Should I hold both QQQ and VGT?

With a 0.95 correlation, holding both QQQ and VGT provides almost no diversification benefit. The two funds share their top four holdings (Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Broadcom). Investors seeking diversification alongside a tech tilt would typically pair one of these with a broad market fund like VTI or VOO.

Is QQQ now cheaper after the 2025 fee cut?

QQQ’s expense ratio dropped from 0.20% to 0.18% in December 2025 when Invesco converted it from a unit investment trust to an open-ended ETF. It’s exactly double VGT’s 0.09%. Investors focused solely on Nasdaq-100 exposure at lower cost can also consider QQQM at 0.15%.

Why is VGT more volatile than QQQ despite holding more stocks?

VGT holds roughly 325 stocks compared to QQQ’s 104 — but its top three positions account for 45.4% of the fund. That extreme concentration at the top, combined with 100% allocation to a single sector, creates higher price swings than QQQ’s more spread-out, multi-sector approach. More holdings doesn’t always mean more diversification.



This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

M
Written by
M.Aiden
Engineer turned long-term index fund investor. I use backtested data and primary fund sources to break down ETF comparisons, dividend strategies, and retirement planning — no hype, no guesswork, just numbers. Investing since 2018.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. QuantFlowLab is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or tax professional. All investment decisions carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Fee comparisons and growth projections use simplified assumptions and do not account for taxes, trading costs, tracking error, or market volatility. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always verify current fund data with the provider and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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